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Wednesday, February 6, 2008

THE REVOLUTION IS GOING TO A BROKERED CONVENTION - Do the Math

THE REVOLUTION IS GOING TO A BROKERED CONVENTION - Do the Math

By zooamerica | February 6, 2008

For anyone calling for a 3rd party run, hold your horses.

http://youdecide08.foxnews.com/2008/02/02/national-delegate-count-tally/

This was updated this morning at 6:15 AM

Republican Delegates (1,191 needed to win nomination)

Candidate Delegates
Mike Huckabee 190
John McCain 613
Ron Paul 14
Mitt Romney 269

Total 1,086

1,191 - 613 = 578 delegates short

McCain is NOT going to pick up 578 delegates any time soon.

Super Tuesday was his best shot at winning the nomination, and he didn’t even come close.

How is McCain going to afford to keep his campaign functioning? He has no more money, and has no conservative base support.

So what states are left that are rich in delegates?

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080124/ap_on_el_pr/super_tuesday_later_states

Feb. 12: 116 Republican delegates, including 63 in Virginia and 37 in Maryland.

March 4: 256 Republican, including 137 in Texas and 85 in Ohio.

May 6: 96 Republican, including 69 in North Carolina.
_____________________

Let’s do the math….

McCain has 613 delegates + states I think he will win

Maryland 37
Ohio 85

613 + 37 + 85 = 735

Let’s say McCain takes Texas and Virginia…

735 + 137 + 63 = 935

McCain is still 256 delegates short, and this delegate count is assuming these states are winner take all, but some are not. Even if McCain picks up North Carolina, he will still be 187 votes.

We are going to a brokered convention.

There is no possible way for John McCain to pick up the 1,191 necessary delegates to secure the GOP nomination.

Ron Paul will speak to the nation in St. Paul, MN.

He will have a national platform to introduce himself to America.

The old media cannot rig his speech. Ron Paul will use this national stage to launch the revolution into the stratosphere and take back the Republican Party.

The revolution has won a MAJOR victory.

1 Comments:

Blogger RATSLUG said...

You're math is okay, except Texas and Ohio aren't winner take all states. (Which bodes even better for a brokered convention). In fact the only winner take all states left are Vermont (17 delegates), where McCain will probably win but Romney could surprise, D.C. (19 delegates) where McCain is a lock, and Virginia (63 delegates), where McCain will probably win but either Huckabee or Romney could surprise if the vote coalesces around them.

February 6, 2008 at 10:43 PM  

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